Station

Minneapolis-St. Paul

KMSP / USW00014922
Loading

Tomorrow High

--F

Loading prediction data

Tomorrow Precip

--in

Loading prediction data

Data Freshness

--days

Waiting for source metadata

Model MAE

--F

Max temp validation score

Sat 80 38% rain
Sun 78 24% rain
Mon 74 18% rain
Tue 72 61% rain
Wed 70 58% rain
Thu 76 22% rain
Fri 82 16% rain

7 Day Outlook

High temperature forecast

Precipitation

Chance and amount

Confidence

Forecast horizon

Verification

Recent max-temp forecast error

Waiting for verified actuals

Sources

Data freshness and roles

Source Latest Date Role Status
NOAA daily summaries 2026-06-22 Training truth Lagging
NWS provisional summaries -- Live prediction input Current
7-day max temp prediction -- Dashboard forecast Ready
Max temp verification -- Forecast scoreboard Waiting
NWS forecast snapshots Collecting Future model features Collecting

S3 Layout

Current operational path

raw/nws_current/observations/
  station_id=KMSP/
    year=2026/
      month=06/
        day=26/
          provisional_daily_summary_20260626.json

dashboard/data/
  latest_7_day_max_temp_prediction.json

Quality

Latest provisional day

Daily rows used--
Latest source date--
Incomplete dates--
Generated--

Model Diagnostics

Baseline max temperature model

Day +1 R2 --
Day +1 MAE --
Day +1 RMSE --
Horizons 7 days

Roadmap

7 day forecast model path

1Day +1 high tempWorking from NWS provisional summaries
2Separate horizon modelsDay +1 through day +7 max temp models deployed
3Live AWS automationDaily Lambda writes dashboard prediction JSON
4Precipitation modelsChance and amount forecasts

Live Verification

MAE by forecast horizon

Waiting for verification records

Dashboard refreshed